Aranspass, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

041
FXUS64 KCRP 221821
AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
121 PM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 109 PM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
- Low chance (20-40%) of showers today through Tuesday, increasing
  to medium chances (30-60%) Wednesday through Thursday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 109 PM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
No changes real changes were made again to the forecast due to
remaining uncertainty. Models are still in agreement as far as a
boundary/potential cold front creeping into the region. Uncertainty
still remains in terms of how strong the front will be when it
reaches us, and the time of arrival of the front. Some solutions
completely push through it through South Texas others having it
meander just to the north before getting pushed through. Regardless,
moisture convergence and present lift associated with the boundary
will likely lead to an increased risk of showers and thunderstorms
(30-60%) around the middle of the week. Be sure to check back for
future updates.
Drier air behind the boundary will drop humidity values and
temperatures. Highs will be around the upper 80s to lower 90s across
the region through the beginning of next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 109 PM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
VFR conditions are expected to persist through the remainder of
the period. Showers and thunderstorms have been moving through the
eastern portions of the region effecting terminals ALI,VCT,CRP.
A low chance will continue through this evening (00Z) before
tapering off. Some occasional MVFR to IFR conditions and gusty
winds will be likely near the storms.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 109 PM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) onshore breeze will continue
through the middle of the week. A frontal boundary is expected to
move through the area by Thursday, switching winds to the
northwest briefly before winds returning to a southeasterly flow
for the upcoming weekend. There is a low to medium (30-60%) chance
of showers and thunderstorms each day.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    78  93  78  94 /  10  20  10  50
Victoria          75  94  76  95 /   0  30   0  70
Laredo            78 101  78 101 /   0   0   0  20
Alice             75  98  76  98 /   0  20   0  50
Rockport          80  92  80  92 /  20  20  10  50
Cotulla           76 100  78  99 /   0   0   0  30
Kingsville        76  95  76  96 /   0  20   0  50
Navy Corpus       81  90  82  90 /  20  20  20  50
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...NP/92

NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion