Big Torch Key, Florida Weather Forecast Discussion

749
FXUS62 KKEY 061511
AFDKEY
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1111 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1111 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Another warm and humid mid-morning is ongoing for the Florida
Keys. GOES-19 Satellite shows partly to mostly sunny skies and
with temperatures in the mid 80s coupled with dewpoints in the
upper 70s, it is kind of swampy out there. A few isolated showers
are being detected on KBYX but the coverage and strength has
deteriorated in these cells since earlier this morning. Surface
winds are light and variable, generally northeast to east
indicating we are in a weak synoptic flow pattern at the moment.
Aloft, a broad area of weak ridging remains centered over the
Gulf, while a shallow trough and low level vorticity axis lingers
to the east across the Bahamas. While showers are currently
limited, ample moisture continues to funnel into the area off of a
stationary boundary just north of the Keys. For the rest of the
day, showers will continue to linger around with different
boundary interactions, but significant rainfall is not expected at
this time. No changes were necessary to this update package.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1111 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
No watches, warnings, or advisories are currently in effect for
the Florida Keys waters. From synopsis, a combination of a
stationary frontal boundary and a weak area of low pressure still
situated near the Bahamas will make for a messy weather pattern
through the next several days. This will maintain above normal
rain chances through the entire forecast period. In addition, it
will keeps winds fluctuating between northeast and southeast at
times. At this time, the strongest breezes look to stay north of
our waters but will be watching for updates.
&&
.AVIATION...
(15Z TAFS)
Issued at 1111 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF
period. Limited shower development will leave mention of VCSH out
of the TAF for the time being. Near surface winds will be variable
at near 5 knots, becoming north to northeast.
&&
.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 5 AM EDT Tuesday for FLZ076>078.
GM...None.
&&
$$
Public/Marine/Fire...AP
Aviation/Nowcasts....AP
Data Acquisition.....AP
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NWS KEY Office Area Forecast Discussion