Blue Ridge, Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

110
FXUS61 KRNK 011039
AFDRNK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
639 AM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure building in from the north will result in an
extended period of dry and more seasonable weather through
Monday. Next chance of rainfall comes during the middle of next
week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 140 AM EDT Wednesday...
Key Messages:
1) A few showers linger through sunrise.
2) Dry conditions as high pressure begins to take control.
A few lingering showers and clouds continue this morning as
shallow moisture remains over the area. Will gradually see rain
and clouds come to an end through the morning as high pressure
sinks south, resulting in mostly clear skies later this
afternoon and evening. Breezy northeast winds through the
daytime as a drier airmass work into the region. Temperatures
today will be on the warmer side with highs in the low to mid
70s, but much cooler tonight dropping into the 40s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 145 AM EDT Wednesday...
Key Message:
1. Dry weather through the week, with near normal temperatures.
A strong high pressure system will become centered over the
northeastern US and southeastern Canada, and pushing down into the
Mid Atlantic for the end of the work week. This will result in
clear, sunny skies and cooler, but near normal temperatures, as
northeasterly flow from the high will usher in a cooler and drier
airmass. Afternoon high temperatures will range from the mid 60s in
the west to low 70s in the east through the short term forecast
period. Overall, expecting a cool, fall like period of weather for
the end of the work week.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 145 AM EDT Wednesday...
Key Messages:
1. Dry weather prevails through the weekend and into the start of
the work week.
2. Temperatures trend upward a few degrees.
Through the weekend, the surface high pressure will remain situated
over the northeastern US, keeping cool and dry air in the region via
northeasterly winds. Clear skies and no precipitation is expected.
However, with the high pressure holding steady over the region, and
under clear skies, temperatures will climb upward a few degrees over
the weekend, with highs reaching the upper 60s to low 70s in the
west, and upper 70s in the east through the period. Still should
feel pleasant, with a lack of moisture in the air keeping humidity
values low.
Towards the start of the next work week, the center of the surface
high will slide offshore, and flow over the region will transition
to more easterly and then southerly. This will result in a gradual
uptick in dewpoints, as moisture is advected into the region off the
Atlantic. A cold front looks to push eastward into the Great Lakes
and Midwest by Monday, and will continue to move towards the central
Appalachians by Tuesday, which will bring about an increase in
precipitation chances for the area.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 640 AM EDT Wednesday...
Mostly VFR except for some patchy dense fog across favored
mountain valley in West Virginia. LWB/BLF continue to have vsby
restrictions due to fog. Should improve by 13z/9am, giving way
to widespread VFR at all terminals.
Winds from the northeast today, gusty east of the mountains,
possible as high as 20kts at times. Winds subside again
tonight...light to calm. Patchy dense fog possible once again.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
Dry high pressure will keep an extended period of VFR into the
weekend, outside of morning patchy fog.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BMG
NEAR TERM...BMG
SHORT TERM...AS
LONG TERM...AS
AVIATION...BMG

NWS RNK Office Area Forecast Discussion