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Bowdre, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

058
FXUS64 KMEG 131727 AAA
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Memphis TN 1227 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1224 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025

- Hot and dry conditions will persist across the Mid-South through the middle of next week.

- Temperatures will range from the lower to upper 90s for the next several days.

- Drought conditions are expected to persist or worsen due to lack of precipitation and prolonged heat. This also raises wildland fire concerns through at least next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through next Friday) Issued at 1132 AM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025

A persistent Omega Block will dominate synoptic weather patterns over the next several days, prolonging above average temperatures and mostly dry conditions. Afternoon highs will continue to be in the mid and upper 90s with lows dipping into the upper 60s and lower 70s each night. For now, heat headlines are not anticipated as heat indices max out in the upper 90s each day. One thing to watch for in the Memphis metro area: degraded air quality over the next several days. Strong nighttime inversions will trap pollutants near the surface. This, along with minimal daytime mixing, will lead to little room for pollutants to move elsewhere. Additional Air Quality Alerts are anticipated through midweek.

Fortunately, the aforementioned Omega Block is forecast to finally breakdown late Thursday as a trough moves across the Central Plains. Rain chances increase to about 20 percent on Friday. A widespread wetting rain is not anticipated, but pop-up thunderstorms will provide relief from the prolonged period of dry weather. In addition, temperatures are forecast to decrease a few degrees by the end of the work week with highs ranging from the upper 80s to lower 90s.

ANS

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.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1226 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025

Dry high pressure will bring VFR and light winds through the next 30 hours.

PWB

&&

.FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1132 AM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025

Elevated fire danger will continue into next week as hot and dry conditions continue to plague the Mid-South. Dry fuels and MinRH around 30 percent will encourage wildland fire development. However, light 20ft winds will keep fire spread to a minimum.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. &&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS AVIATION...PWB

NWS MEG Office Area Forecast Discussion

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