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Bridgewater, Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

538
FXUS61 KLWX 260747
AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 347 AM EDT Fri Sep 26 2025

.SYNOPSIS...

A cold front will stall southeast of the area this weekend. High pressure over eastern Canada builds south early next week while a tropical system lifts northward across the southwestern Atlantic. Depending on track, additional rainfall chances are possible next week.

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

Weak cold front across southern Maryland is expected to become stationary over the weekend over southeast Virginia. Low-level drying will continue across the area through early Saturday, particularly across the northwest half of the fcst area as front slowly pushes southeast of the area. However, high level moisture will continue to stream into the area on southwest jet aloft. It should remain mostly dry through the day today, but showers could start making a comeback late tonight/early Saturday as forcing from approaching upper low to the soutwest increases.

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.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...

Widespread showers are expected Saturday as forcing and moisture increase on east side of approaching upper low. Showers should start exiting the area to the east late Saturday night/early Sunday. Much cooler Saturday due to thick clouds and rain with highs in the mid to upper 60s.

Sunday...Upper low starts filling in, while at the surface, high pressure center over the Upper Midwest starts shifting east toward the northern mid-Atlantic shunting clouds and precip chances across central and southern VA.

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.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

There remains and will continue to remain uncertainties with respect to how the two tropical systems in the Atlantic impact the East Coast early next week. Fluctuations in model guidance continue as additional data in ingested into the models. Rain appears likely at times, though there remains considerably uncertainty with the northern extent given the Canadian High to the north and amounts. Lots of uncertainties and NHC has the latest official forecast at hurricanes.gov.

Temperatures will be in the 70s Monday and Tuesday with higher elevations staying in the 60s. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s for those east of the Blue Ridge and 50s for those along and west. Come Wednesday and Thursday, high temps will fall about 5 degrees each day. Come Thursday, highs will top out in the mid 60s for most with 50s in the mountains. Temps fall into the 40s areawide Thursday night (30s in typical cooler locales).

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.AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

VFR today and tonight. IFR cigs expected Saturday as showers return. After rain/showers exit Saturday night, expect low clouds/fog to redevelop late Saturday night/early Sunday with additional cig/vsby restrictions likely. Conditions will improve Sunday, except at CHO where low clouds are likely to persist all day Sunday until drier arrives Sunday night. Scattered showers will still

Any impacts are likely related to any tropical landfalls or remnants. Recommend continuing to look at the latest forecast as confidence increases over the next few days.

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.MARINE...

Sub-SCA winds are expected through the early part of next week. Winds will strengthen during the middle part of next week.

Impacts will be dependent on how the tropical system evolves and impacts the East Coast early next week. Solutions range from near SCA winds to potentially gale force gusts. Will continue to monitor.

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.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... DC...None. MD...None. VA...None. WV...None. MARINE...None.

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SYNOPSIS...LFR NEAR TERM...LFR SHORT TERM...LFR LONG TERM...CPB AVIATION...LFR/CPB MARINE...LFR/CPB

NWS LWX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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