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Bullocktown, Indiana Weather Forecast Discussion

480
FXUS63 KPAH 080613
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 113 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Ongoing dry weather will continue at least the next seven days.

- Temperatures will trend hotter during the week, with daily high temperatures in the lower to middle 90s forecast Thursday through next weekend.

- The combination of dry vegetation, hot temperatures, and low relative humidity values may lead to an elevated risk of fire danger the second half of the week.

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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 113 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

Broad synoptic troughing over the northeast CONUS will gradually yield to rising mid-level heights from the west across the region through the week. As the surface high pressure located over the eastern Great Lakes translates eastward, warmer southerly flow will result in a major warmup as we go through the week. Today will see temperatures at 850 mb around 8-10C, which will result in temperatures near to slightly below normal again. However, by Thursday through weekend, 850 mb temperatures will warm to the around 15-17C, resulting in high temperatures in the lower to middle 90s each day from Thursday through the weekend. These values would be a few degrees shy of record high temperatures.

The combination of the ongoing abnormal dry to moderate drought conditions, the forecast of more dry rainfall through the next seven days, and low daily relative humidity values could lead to the potential for elevated fire weather conditions during the second half of the week. However, forecast gradient winds still look to be quite modest (4-8 kts during the afternoon hours at most), which should act as a check on the fire danger concerns.

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.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1100 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

Clear skies prevail across the region tonight with VFR conditions. A very dry column should help to inhibit fog development for most locations early Monday morning. High cirrus clouds then begin to build in from the northwest during the afternoon and evening hours. Calm winds turn easterly around 6-7 kts by midday.

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.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.

&&

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DISCUSSION...DWS AVIATION...DW

NWS PAH Office Area Forecast Discussion

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