912 FXUS63 KSGF 241120 AFDSGFArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 620 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Shower and thunderstorm chances continue today.
- More seasonal temperatures and drier weather for the end of the week and into the weekend.
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.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 226 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Upper level trough persists from the western Great Lakes through the central plains. The convection which was over the area earlier in the evening has mostly ended across the forecast area. A frontal boundary was draped from northeast to southwest across the area. Low level moisture remains plentiful with stratus across most of the CWA. Some fog was beginning to develop.
Rest of tonight into Wednesday Night...Light surface winds and stratus building down will lead to some fog development. Some models are suggesting a few hours of dense fog and will need to monitor for the potential of an advisory as the overnight progresses. The upper level trough and surface front will continue to slow progress through the area today. Showers and thunderstorms will become more numerous as the day progresses into the afternoon and evening hours before diminishing and shifting east of the area during the overnight hours. Not expecting any severe storms, though heavy rain will accompany the storms. Plan on removing the flood advisory which ends as 12z as we are not expecting much of anything the remainder of the night. Cloud cover and precipitation will keep high temperatures in the low to mid 70s.
Thursday...The trough should continue pushing through the remainder of the CWA on Thursday with any residual showers in the far eastern CWA ending. Clearing should take place from west to east as drier air moves into the area behind the trough. Highs are expected in the mid to upper 70s.
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.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... Issued at 226 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Generally dry conditions are expected through the remainder of the forecast period. Temperatures will gradually warm back into the low to mid 80s as upper ridging builds back into the area.
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.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 618 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
For the 12z TAFS, patchy areas of fog and scattered showers were over the forecast area this morning and may affect the TAF sites through the morning, dropping visibilities at times to under a mile. Showers and thunderstorms will become more numerous during the afternoon into the evening. We are expecting IFR/MVFR conditions through the day into the evening.
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.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. MO...None.
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SHORT TERM...Lindenberg LONG TERM...Lindenberg AVIATION...Lindenberg
NWS SGF Office Area Forecast Discussion