Clay, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

893
FXUS63 KGID 230804
AFDGID
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
304 AM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue today. Severe
  weather is unlikely, but a few storms could produce small
  hail, gusty winds, and isolated minor flooding.
- Showers/storms gradually end from north to south this evening
  through Wednesday morning.
- Dry and gradually warming into the weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 304 AM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025
The bulk of the forecast area remained quiet Monday night,
although scattered showers and storms are still expected over
most of the area through the day today. As of 2:45am, stratiform
rain is slowly moving into southern parts of the area, with a
few strengthening thunderstorms within it near I-70. This
activity will continue to slide northeastward through sunrise,
with additional thunderstorms are anticipated to develop
further north near or shortly after sunrise. Some areas
near/north of Highway 92 could remain dry through today, but the
rest of the area is all likely (50-90% chance) to at least see
some rain.
The threat for severe weather is low. Cloudy, cool conditions
will keep instability rather limited, although synoptic forcing
could help produce a few storms that are capable of producing
small hail and localized gusty winds. Heavy rain could also
lead to localized flooding, but this threat is pretty isolated.
Many areas (especially I-80 northward) are favored to see rain
in the 0.10-0.50" range, with only localized areas seeing 2-3"
of additional rain.
As the upper trough shifts southeastward, we will see rain
slowly end north to south...starting this afternoon and
continuing through the overnight. A few showers could persist
past sunrise on Wednesday in northern Kansas. Some CAMs also
hint at very isolated diurnally-driven showers Wednesday
afternoon. But other than these very low chances, dry conditions
are expected for Wednesday. Clearing skies should allow
temperatures to dip into the low 50s and possibly even upper 40s
Wednesday night.
The rest of the week and weekend continues to look dry, with
temperatures warming back into the upper 70s and 80s...a few
degrees above normal for the end of September.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
Much of the overnight hours will remain dry, but showers and
thunderstorms are expected to develop in the area near or just
prior to sunrise. Ceilings will also drop through the morning
hours. MVFR ceilings are most favored, although brief periods of
IFR ceilings are possible. Showers and thunderstorms gradually
sink south of GRI/EAR Tuesday evening, and VFR conditions are
expected to return for Tuesday night.
Winds remain variable through tonight, becoming northeasterly on
Tuesday
&&
.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...Mangels

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion