Duncan, West Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

010
FXUS61 KRLX 110516
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
116 AM EDT Thu Sep 11 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure continues to support dry conditions for most of
the area through early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
As of 1210 PM Wednesday...
Overall mainly dry conditions continue in the near term period with
high pressure in control. Afternoons will continue to be
characterized by low RH, but winds look to remain generally light
during the period. River valley fog will be possible overnight/early
Thursday morning. Otherwise, moisture from a low moving north along
the coast today may spread enough moisture west to produce some
light rain/sprinkles across far northeast zones, but chances are
low, and main effect should just be a slight uptick in cloud
cover.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 1210 PM Wednesday...
A gradual warming trend will take hold by Friday into Saturday as a
ridge across the central U.S. nudges east into the region. High
temperatures by Friday should generally top out in the mid 80s
across the lowlands, with slightly warmer temperatures expected for
Saturday.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 1210 PM Wednesday...
Overall, still looking dry to round out the forecast period. An
upper low will sag south across the northeast U.S. Sunday into
Monday. This could provide a light shower to the area, however, we
are looking to remain mainly dry. Low will move off to the east
early next week, with upper ridging looking to take hold once
again.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 115 AM Thursday...
Patches of dense river valley fog may be possible prior to
sunrise this morning; however, extent should be limited by some
clouds and light wind. Whatever fog does form will lift around
12-13Z. Outside of any fog, flight conditions should remain
VFR through the end of the valid TAF period.
Winds will be calm to light through 12Z, light and northerly
during the day, then become calm to light and variable again
after 00Z.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Low for fog. Otherwise, high.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Duration and extent of fog may vary from
the forecast.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE                                   THU 09/11/25
UTC 1HRLY       05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16
EDT 1HRLY       01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    M    L    L    M    M    M    M    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    L    M    M    M    M    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    L    M    M    M    M    M    M    L    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    L    M    M    M    M    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    M    L    L    M    M    M    L    H    H    H    H
AFTER 06Z FRIDAY...
IFR possible in early morning valley fog each morning.
&&
.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...20
NEAR TERM...SL
SHORT TERM...SL
LONG TERM...SL
AVIATION...20

NWS RLX Office Area Forecast Discussion