Ferris, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

233
FXUS64 KFWD 121016
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
516 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
...New Aviation, Short Term...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Seasonably hot but tranquil weather conditions will continue
  through next week with afternoon highs in the lower to mid 90s.
&&
.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
Update:
Light winds and clear skies allowed some of the rural, lower
elevation spots to over-achieve on the radiative cooling once
again this morning. Though not quite as cool as yesterday, several
spots dropped into the mid 60s over the past hour. Urban areas on
the other hand remain warm with temperatures well into the 70s.
Some minor grid adjustments to temperatures were needed based on
METAR trends, otherwise the ongoing forecast is on track.
30
Previous Discussion:
/Through Saturday/
Above-normal temperatures will be the main weather story through
the weekend as a strong mid/upper ridge remains planted over Texas
and the Southern Plains. Highs in the mid 90s with lows in the
70s will be 5 or so degrees above normal for mid September. A
surface ridge situated to our east will keep winds out of the
south to southeast at 5 to 10 MPH. Little to no clouds will be
present, but a thin layer of smoke aloft originating from numerous
wildfires across the western U.S. will make for picturesque
sunsets and sunrises.
30
&&
.LONG TERM... /Issued 1238 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025/
/Next Week/
The ridge will weaken slightly on Sunday as a shortwave trough
lifts northeast from the Four Corners into the Central Plains.
Southwest flow and the resulting capping inversion should shut
down any convective attempts across North and Central Texas,
though isolated storms may approach the Big Country Sunday
afternoon before dissipating. High clouds may also knock a degree
or two off Sunday afternoon temperatures. The ridge will re-
strengthen on Monday, keeping hot and dry conditions in place
through at least the middle of next week. The ridge will retreat
southwest late next week as an upper low drops southeast through
the Plains. The resulting northwest flow aloft may eventually
bring some low rain chances next weekend, otherwise seasonably hot
weather can be expected.
30
&&
.AVIATION... /NEW/
/12Z TAFs/
VFR and quiet aviation weather can be expected through Saturday as
high pressure aloft remains in control of the region. Winds will
be generally out of the south at 5 to 10 kt.
30
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    95  75  94  74  94 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                94  72  93  72  92 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               93  71  92  72  91 /   0   0   5   0   0
Denton              96  71  94  72  94 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            94  72  94  72  94 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              96  75  94  76  94 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             94  72  93  72  92 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           95  72  94  72  93 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              94  69  94  69  91 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       96  69  94  69  94 /   0   0   0   0   0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion