Fisher Island, Florida Weather Forecast Discussion

044
FXUS62 KMFL 190503
AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
103 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 1259 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
The forecast for today and Saturday is trending drier as a weak area
of low pressure in the western Atlantic pushes off to the northeast
and ushers in a slightly drier air mass behind it. PWATs currently
around 2.2-2.4 inches will drop to 1.5 to 1.8 inches by early this
afternoon, which will act to limit the spatial coverage of showers
and storms expected to develop during the mid afternoon and early
evening. With a drier air mass moving in, much of the early part of
the day is expected to be mainly dry with isolated to scattered
showers and storms managing to develop by peak daytime heating.
Saturday should be even drier as modeled PWATs drop as low as 1.2
inches around Lake Okeechobee and interior South Florida. Despite
the drier air mass, a few showers and storms may manage to develop
by the late afternoon time period as they take advantage of peak
daytime heating.
Highs today and tomorrow will reach the upper 80s to maybe low 90s
depending on exactly how much sunshine we are able to get. Overnight
lows will drop into the 70s each night. &&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 1259 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Drier air persists across the peninsula through the end of the
weekend which should act to limit coverage of showers and storms on
Sunday. Mid level ridging is able to build in across the Southeast
which should maintain a generally easterly flow across the area
through the period and keep highest rain chances across interior and
southwest Florida through the mid-week time period. A similar
evolution is expected each day Sunday through Thursday with mainly
sunny conditions in the morning and showers and storms developing
along the east coast sea breeze as it pushes inland. Maximum
coverage of showers and storms will occur over interior and
Southwest Florida during the early evening hours.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1259 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Mainly VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period..
Winds increase out of the NNE after 15z to around 10 kts. Another
round of scattered showers and storms may develop near the east
coast terminals after 18z Friday, although models are trending
drier so significant impacts are becoming less likely. At KAPF,
winds will become NW this afternoon as a Gulf breeze develops.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1259 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
A moderate east-northeasterly breeze will continue today. Seas
across the Atlantic waters will generally remain between 2 to 3 feet
while seas across the Gulf waters remain at 1 to 2 feet. Periods of
rough seas and gusty winds will be possible near the most robust
shower and thunderstorm activity.
&&
.BEACHES...
Issued at 1259 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
As onshore flow persists, there is a moderate risk of rip currents
across Southeast Florida beaches through the weekend.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            77  89  78  89 /  30  50  30  40
West Kendall     76  90  76  90 /  20  50  20  50
Opa-Locka        77  91  78  91 /  20  50  20  40
Homestead        76  89  77  89 /  30  50  30  40
Fort Lauderdale  77  89  78  89 /  30  50  30  40
N Ft Lauderdale  77  89  78  89 /  20  40  20  40
Pembroke Pines   77  92  78  92 /  20  50  20  40
West Palm Beach  76  89  77  89 /  30  40  20  40
Boca Raton       76  90  77  90 /  30  40  30  40
Naples           76  92  76  91 /  10  40  10  30
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...99

NWS MFL Office Area Forecast Discussion