Garrett Bridge, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

519
FXUS64 KLZK 202302
AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
602 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 114 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
-Strong to severe storms will be possible across portions of the
 state later Saturday morning into the early afternoon with the
 best chances across portions of northern and central Arkansas.
-Patchy, dense fog will be possible across portions of the state
 through the early morning hours Saturday.
-Hot and humid conditions will continue today, lasting through
 early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 114 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
To begin the period, a somewhat active weather pattern is expected
over the next several days as multiple shortwaves move across the
state. With it comes the chance for showers, thunderstorms, and
cooler temperatures. The best chance for rain through the period
will be Monday through Wednesday morning. While widespread severe is
not expected, some isolated storms could produce severe hail and/or
wind gusts. With that said, rain chances are possible over the
weekend however showers and storms will remain scattered and will
likely favor northern into central Arkansas.
As with any scattered convection, exact totals depend where storms
set up. Overall, most locations could see up to an inch of rain
through the middle of next week. Higher accumulations will be
possible for areas with consistent storms or training.
Some patchy, dense fog will be possible across portions of the state
this Saturday morning...especially in areas that received heavy
rainfall Friday afternoon and evening. If you plan to venture out
early Saturday morning, please use caution on roadways. Fog should
burn off/lift just after sunrise.
Temperatures are expected to be average to above average through
much of the period with high temperatures in the lower 80s (mainly
northern locations) to lower 90s and overnight low temperatures
dropping into the lower 60s to lower 70s across the state.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 558 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
The main aviation impacts during this period will occur over
northern Arkansas with scattered thunderstorms expected to develop
overnight. Expect storms to form up along the MO/AR border around
5-6Z as the low level jet starts to develop. Most guidance has
these storms remaining along the nose of that jet in the location
of KHRO and KBPK for 3-5 hours. Depending on how quickly the
clouds and storms move east, it could cause fog to develop in the
morning over northern Arkansas if there is any clearing with how
wet the ground will be in the morning.
The next aviation threat will be isolated storms that will form
over south central Arkansas in the afternoon. Most activity looks
to stay south of I40, but the forcing is weak so outflows could
migrate storms north throughout the afternoon.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     67  92  68  88 /  30  30  40  70
Camden AR         67  92  68  90 /   0  20  10  30
Harrison AR       64  87  65  81 /  40  50  50  70
Hot Springs AR    66  91  68  89 /   0  10  20  50
Little Rock   AR  69  91  70  88 /  10  10  30  40
Monticello AR     70  94  70  92 /   0  20  10  20
Mount Ida AR      66  91  68  88 /   0  20  30  50
Mountain Home AR  65  89  66  84 /  50  40  50  70
Newport AR        69  93  69  88 /  20  30  40  60
Pine Bluff AR     68  93  69  91 /   0  10  10  30
Russellville AR   67  92  69  88 /  10  20  30  60
Searcy AR         66  93  67  89 /  10  20  30  50
Stuttgart AR      69  93  69  90 /  10  10  30  30
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...BARHAM

NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion