Hanceville, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

256
FXUS64 KHUN 251441
AFDHUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
941 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...
.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of Today and Tonight)
Issued at 941 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
This morning started off warm and muggy as cloud cover acted like
a blanket to keep temperatures from falling too far overnight,
stuck in the upper 60s to lower 70s and dewpoints were not far
behind. The cloud cover will lessen some, but remain sct/bkn for
most of us. This will on the flip side, keep temps in the upper
70s to lower 80s this afternoon. The cold front is currently back
along the MS River, and will slowly make it`s way to the TN Valley
today. This will provide lift for another round of low to medium
chances (30-60%) of showers and thunderstorms today. Not
expecting severe weather, however these will be proficient
rainfall producers that could cause concern for locations that
have already received a lot of rainfall over the past few days. If
you see any water on the roadways, turn around, don`t drown.
Coverage will fade with sunset, but a few showers may linger into
the night as the cold front pushes out of here. Despite cloud
cover, lows should be able to get into the low/mid 60s tonight.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Sunday)
Issued at 941 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
The air behind the slow moving cold front will only be slightly
drier, leaving a good amount of moisture in place. The front will
be out of the forecast area tomorrow but close enough to keep a
low chance (20-30%) of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon
forecast, with the greatest coverage in NE AL. With lingering
cloud cover and PoP chances, highs will be a few degrees cooler in
the upper 70s to lower 80s.
This weekend, a better amount of dry air will push into the TN
Valley, especially for NW AL over to our central counties. Won`t
rule out a shower/storm or two for NE AL Saturday afternoon,
otherwise conditions will be dry and cloud cover will lessen through
Sunday. Daytime highs will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s once
again on Saturday, and with the increase in sunshine and high
pressure, it will be warmer, in the low to mid 80s on Sunday.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 915 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Late this weekend into early next week, there is model agreement
that an upper level ridge is forecast to creep into the Tennessee
Valley from the west. Sfc high pressure will subsequently take over
the region, allowing mostly dry conditions through the long term
period. Highs during this time are forecast to be in the low to mid
80s with overnight lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. One thing to
watch will be how the tropics unfold to our east by mid week and if
we get any additional moisture and resultant rainfall. Overall,
however, should be a benign forecast with very low chances for
rainfall each day.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 537 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
MVFR to IFR ceilings are in place across the region and expected
to remain through most of the morning. Ceilings look to lift
slightly by mid day to solidly MVFR as scattered showers and
thunderstorms move across the area through through the afternoon.
Confidence is low in exact timing and location of storm. Future
TAF issuances will refine the details of afternoon storms. Come
sunset storms will wane with VFR conditions forecast through the
night.
&&
.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...JMS
SHORT TERM....JMS
LONG TERM....HC
AVIATION...RAD

NWS HUN Office Area Forecast Discussion