Jungo, Nevada Weather Forecast Discussion

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FXUS65 KLKN 271040 AAA
AFDLKN
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated
National Weather Service Elko NV
340 AM PDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1122 AM PDT Fri Sep 26 2025
* A break in the weather with sunnier conditions across the region
  with a small chance of showers and thunderstorms across Central
  Nevada this afternoon.
* Another round of active weather expected to start late Saturday
  and early Sunday.
* Stronger weather system expected to move over northern and
  central Nevada Monday, lasting through Tuesday.
* Drier conditions expected to return by mid-week.
&&
.UPDATE... Issued at 340 AM PDT Sat Sep 27 2025
No updates are needed for the current forecast as it remains on
track.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Friday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A break in weather this afternoon as
drier conditions dominate the region, however there is still a
less than 20% chance for showers and thunderstorms in central
Nevada from Tonopah to Ely along US Highway 6 corridor. Saturday,
sunny conditions expected to continue with some cloud development
during the day. Temperatures expected in the 70s to 80s for
central Nevada, with warmer temperatures in the 80s across
northern Nevada. By late Saturday into Sunday, another round of
active weather from the low pressure system over Arizona, will
push more moisture into the region. Chances for some showers over
Northeastern Nye and White Pine Counties, gradually increase from
20%, up to 50% in the early morning hours. By Sunday, moisture
will be more widespread, reaching into the rest of central Nevada
and Elko County, with chances for showers up to 30-45%.
Thunderstorm chances increase up to 30% with the strongest chances
along US-50 Corridor. Highs expected to be cooler along the storm
front with temperatures in the 70s over central Nevada and Elko
County, while Humboldt county expected to stay in the 80s (White
Pine County expected to be cooler in the 60s).
Monday, models show greater confidence that a low pressure system
over the Gulf of Alaska will move over the northwestern U.S.
extending into the southwestern states. This system will collide
with the already lingering moisture over Nevada and bring even
more moisture along with cooler temperatures. Chances for showers
Monday at 50-75% across the region with the greatest chances in
Lander, Eureka, and Elko Counties. Northern Nye County seeing up
to 60% chance except for the southern portion including Tonopah,
only seeing a 30% chance for showers. Thunderstorms activity is
also expected with this storm front, having a 20-30% chance for
thunderstorms, strongest chances in central Nevada between US-50
and I-80 corridor, and US-93 in Elko County. Shower and
thunderstorm activity is expected to last through Monday, into
Tuesday, where the activity will dissipate by mid-day. Cooler
temperatures makes its way from the storm front with highs in the
60s and 70s Monday, dropping into the 60s Tuesday.
Wednesday, drier air returns with a southwesterly flow over the
silver state, giving a break in the weather. Temperatures are
expected to stay cool in the 60s. Starting Thursday, models are
showing discrepancies with the potential of another round of
weather with some models showing a low pressure system staying
more over Canada, while others are showing the low extends towards
the southwest. Confidence on the next round remains low at this
time.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Moderate confidence of
thunderstorms and showers over central Nevada this afternoon.
Moderate to high confidence of showers and thunderstorms Sunday
followed by a stronger front Monday and Tuesday. High confidence
the weather dries out Wednesday. No changes to the grids at this
time.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR conditions expected at all terminals over the next 24 hour
period with sustained winds below 10 kts. 20% chance for shower
and thunderstorm activity over central Nevada however VCTS will
remain out of KTPH and KELY as probabilities is too low for
impact. Dry weather across all northern terminals.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
A brief lull in weather today with all northern zones expected to
have drier, calmer conditions. This afternoon, up to 20% chance
for showers and thunderstorms in central Nevada along zones 425,
426, and 427. The dry conditions expected to continue tomorrow
with less than 20% chance over the central zones, however look for
more weather activity late Sunday and into early next week.
&&
.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...97
AVIATION...97
FIRE WEATHER...97

NWS LKN Office Area Forecast Discussion