Kerr, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

770
FXUS64 KLZK 190715
AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
215 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 205 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
-Strong to severe storms will be possible across portions of the
 state this afternoon and evening with the best chances across
 southern and central Arkansas.
-A brief break in the showers are expected this weekend with
 unsettled weather returning to the forecast by early next week.
-Hot and humid conditions will continue today, lasting through the
 weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 205 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
To begin the period, a somewhat active weather pattern is expected
over the next several days as mutliple shortwaves move across the
state. With it comes the chance for showers, thunderstorms, and
cooler temperatures. The best chance for rain through the period
will be Friday afternoon then again Monday through Wednesday
morning. While widespread severe is not expected, some isolated
storms could produce severe hail and/or wind gusts.
As with any scattered convection, exact totals depend where storms
set up. Overall, most locations could see up to an inch of rain
through the middle of next week. Higher accumualtions will be
possible for areas with consistent storms or training.
Temperatures are expected to be average to above average through
much of the period with high temperatures in the lower 80s (mainly
northern locations) to lower 90s and overnight low temperatures
dropping into the lower 60s to lower 70s across the state.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Mostly VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. Showers
and thunderstorms will be possible again Friday afternoon and
evening bring the chance of IFR/MVFR flight conditions where rain
sets up. Storms will mostly be scattered, widespread coverage is
not expected at this time. Winds will be mostly light and variable
overnight.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     90  65  91  66 /  40  10  10  20
Camden AR         89  65  93  67 /  40  10  10   0
Harrison AR       84  63  83  65 /  50  10  30  30
Hot Springs AR    88  66  91  68 /  50  10  10  10
Little Rock   AR  88  68  91  70 /  30  10  10  10
Monticello AR     93  68  95  69 /  30  10  10   0
Mount Ida AR      88  64  90  66 /  50  10  10  10
Mountain Home AR  88  63  86  65 /  40  10  20  30
Newport AR        91  66  92  68 /  30  20  10  10
Pine Bluff AR     90  65  93  68 /  30  10   0   0
Russellville AR   89  66  91  68 /  40  10  10  10
Searcy AR         91  65  92  67 /  30  10  10  10
Stuttgart AR      89  67  92  69 /  20  10   0   0
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...73
LONG TERM....73
AVIATION...73

NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion