Lake Junaluska, North Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

246
FXUS62 KGSP 081036
AFDGSP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
636 AM EDT Mon Sep 8 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
A dry surface high pressure ridge will linger over the region
through most of the week.  This will bring fair weather and below
normal temperatures.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 626 AM EDT Monday: No changes to the forecast this morning.
Scattered stratocu have continued to meander across the area, with
some decent redevelopment over the last 1-2 hours.  Some valley
stratus is visible on satellite imagery, mainly in the Little
Tennessee Valley.  Lows remain on track to drop into the mid 50s.
By day, partly to mostly sunny skies are expected, with highs
in the mid 70s across the low terrain.  A steady northeast wind
will continue throughout the day as high pressure filters in from
the northeast; winds should then weaken going into the evening
and tonight.  Lows tonight will fall into the low- to mid-50s,
and some cirrus will drift across the region, for at least the
southeastern zones.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 125 am EDT Monday: The surface pattern over the East during
the short term will be largely influenced by upper confluent flow
over the northeast Conus and southeast Canada, and a cyclone lifting
northeast near the Gulf Stream. Resultant inverted surface pressure
ridge and thermal/moisture trough will result in a continuation
of unseasonably cool and dry conditions across our area through
the period. Nevertheless, with confluent flow steadily weakening to
our northeast, so will the the surface ridge steadily weaken and the
air mass modify. Thus, while temps will begin the period around 10
degrees below climo, with Tue afternoon dewpoints generally in the
40s, dewpoints and max temps are expected to increase by around 5
degrees Wed afternoon.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 135 am EDT Monday: The axis of an upper trough is forecast to
progress steadily across the East through late in the week, with
inverted surface ridging expected to strengthen a bit in its wake
next weekend. As such, air mass modification early in the period
will be somewhat disrupted over the weekend...with temps warming
to near normal Thu/Fri before cooling slightly Sat/Sun. Otherwise,
conditions will remain too dry/stable to support precip chances
through the period.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: VFR conditions expected through the period
at all TAF sites.  FEW/SCT stratocu across much of the area, and a
steady NE wind (or NNW at KAVL).  Mostly clear skies are expected
for today, with some potential for low-end gusts in the afternoon.
Thicker cirrus returns tonight while NE winds continue.
Outlook: VFR and dry through much of next week. Fog and/or low
stratus is possible each morning, especially in the mountain
valleys.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...JDL
NEAR TERM...MPR
SHORT TERM...JDL
LONG TERM...JDL
AVIATION...MPR

NWS GSP Office Area Forecast Discussion