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Long Mott, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

735
FXUS64 KCRP 272244
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 544 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 541 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025

- Min RH`s drop into the 20-30% range for the Brush Country/Inland Coastal Plains today, though with light winds, fire risk remains low.

- Seasonal temperatures with fresher mornings thanks to drier air remaining in the region through mid-week.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025

Forecast remains on track and pretty quiet through the next 7 days. Surface and mid-level ridging in place this weekend keeping seasonal conditions with scattered clouds and high temperatures mainly in the lower to mid 90s. We`ll see a gradual warming trend through much of the upcoming work week with highs approaching 100 over the Rio Grande Plains on Thursday. A mid-level short wave shifts across Texas Tuesday but with PWAT values remaining below normal through the first half of the week, not expecting much in the way of rain chances. Moisture increases a bit for the latter half of the week and we could start seeing some streamer showers or sea breeze showers by the end of the week. Chances remain very low at this time, however. Light and variable winds overnight become light to moderate southeast each day with surface ridging in place to the north/northeast.

&&

.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 541 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025

KALI fog is questionable near sunrise with surface moisture pretty low. Guidance continues to not show fog for the morning guidance, and what little reduction in visibility is being shown has been considerably better than previous mornings. For this reason, we will keep fog out of the TAFs. Expect mainly light winds overnight, becoming generally E`ly at 10-15 kts Sunday afternoon.

&&

.MARINE... Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025

Expect light to moderate northeast to east winds through Tuesday then becoming more onshore later in the week. Low chances (10-20% chance) for showers/storms will be in place through today. The next chance for daily rain chances begin from Monday and will still generally remain under 30% chances.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 71 88 70 88 / 0 0 0 10 Victoria 63 91 63 92 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 69 93 69 92 / 0 0 0 10 Alice 66 91 65 91 / 0 0 0 10 Rockport 73 90 72 90 / 0 0 0 10 Cotulla 68 93 68 92 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 67 89 66 89 / 0 0 0 20 Navy Corpus 77 86 76 86 / 0 0 10 10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. &&

$$

DISCUSSION...PH/83 AVIATION...AE/82

NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion

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