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Mile Branch, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

978
FXUS64 KJAN 191108
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 608 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1236 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025

A shortwave disturbance moving into our region from the west today will provide some lift to help showers and thunderstorms develop - even if isolated for most of our area. Moisture values are sufficient enough (PW around 1.5 inches) to support pop up convection, so do not see any reason why across-the-board slight chance POPs aren`t warranted. At least some degree of organization is possible in proximity to the shortwave axis, so POPs are a little higher in the ArkLaMiss Delta region this afternoon and early evening.

Tomorrow the forecast area may be more suppressed below upper- level shortwave ridging, but moisture values should still support at least a few isolated showers or storms with daytime heating. Ensured that POPs were included for the afternoon hours Saturday. The current pattern will break down over the next few days, resulting in a more progressive zonal flow pattern over the CONUS through the next work week. A few low pressure systems moving through the region and deeper moisture pooled in the Deep South may actually yield some heavy rainfall potential before the week is over. /NF/

&&

.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 608 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites through the period. Isolated SHRA or TSRA are possible after 18Z, but confidence in impacts from thunder was too low to mention in TAFs at this time. /CR/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 94 69 95 70 / 20 20 20 0 Meridian 94 68 95 68 / 20 20 20 0 Vicksburg 94 69 95 70 / 20 20 20 0 Hattiesburg 96 69 97 69 / 20 20 20 0 Natchez 94 68 94 70 / 20 20 20 0 Greenville 93 68 95 69 / 20 20 20 0 Greenwood 94 67 95 69 / 20 20 20 0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. &&

$$

NF/CR

NWS JAN Office Area Forecast Discussion

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