Moorefield, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

634
FXUS63 KLBF 240924
AFDLBF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
424 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry conditions and mild temperatures are expected through
  Thursday.
- A weak cold front crosses the area Friday night. A wind shift
  to the northwest can be expected. No precipitation is expected
  with the front.
- Breezy south winds develop Sunday into the first of next week
  ahead of a long wave trough developing across the western
  United States. Temperatures remaining on the very mild/warm
  side.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 359 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
With the recent rainfall, watching for any fog development this
morning. Despite clearing skies and small temp/dew point spreads,
light northwest winds will likely help to keep visibility up this
morning. Still, some patches of fog cannot be ruled out, especially
in protected low-lying areas. Have not included in the forecast as
it doesn`t seem it will be much of an issue.
Otherwise, surface high pressure will dominate today with a light
northwest surface flow at 5-10 kts. As temperatures warm into
the mid 70s this afternoon...expect some fair weather cumulus
development across the southeast half the area due to the colder
temperatures aloft and steepening boundary layer lapse rates.
Light west to northwest winds and clear skies tonight will allow for
a chilly night. Lows in the mid 40s are expected across western
Nebraska and the Platte River Valley, with the rest of the area in
the upper 40s to near 50. As surface high pressure moves off to the
east Thursday, winds will swing around to light southwest. Low-level
WAA will help temperatures climb a few degrees, with highs in
the upper 70s to lower 80s.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 359 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
A weak shortwave will approach the area Friday. Ahead of this system
highs will reach well into the 80s, especially across parts of north
central and northwest Nebraska. Some limited potential for elevated
fire weather conditions across northwest Nebraska as afternoon
humidity drops into the 20-25% range. It appears, however, that a
leeward trough will be parked across that area downstream from the
approaching wave. This would keep winds light and variable across
that area. Will continue to monitor.
A dry cold frontal passage will move across the area Friday night
with "cooler" highs in the mid 70s Saturday behind the front.
Southerly low-level flow returns Saturday night into Sunday. This
will bring a surge of dew points back up to around 60 or in the
lower 60s. Despite gusty south winds, the higher humidity should
help to offset any fire weather concerns.
Southwest flow aloft will gradually develop early next week ahead of
a long wave trough digging southward across the western CONUS.
Should remain continued dry across our area with south winds
continuing along with very mild/warm temperatures. Appears enough
modified gulf air will continue to keep fire weather concerns on the
low side.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1143 PM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025
VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period.
Aviation concerns continue to focus on low clouds and potential
for low-end fog. At this time, confidence continues to remain
low that conditions deteriorate beyond low-end VFR. Have opted
to maintain VFR as a result though will have to monitor trends
going forward. Expecting daytime conditions to remain favorable
for aviation operations with mostly sunny to sunny conditions
and light winds at or below 15 knots.
&&
.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Taylor
LONG TERM...Taylor
AVIATION...NMJ

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion