215 FXUS66 KPDT 091733 AFDPDTArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 1033 AM PDT Tue Sep 9 2025
.UPDATED AVIATION.
.AVIATION...18Z TAFs...Showers and storms are popping up across the region. Not too confident about direct hits with airways, but have put in VCSH for YKM/BDN/RDM. Have also entered PROB30 for the airways across the Columbia Basin in the overnight hours. Winds will be light except for areas near strong storms that could produce erratic wind gusts.
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PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 134 PM PDT Mon Sep 8 2025/
DISCUSSION... An upper low, currently off the coast of northern California and southern Oregon will move onshore tonight into early Tuesday. This low and trough associated with it remain over the western states through much of the upcoming week before moving eastward Friday night into Saturday. Transient ridging will move over the area for Saturday before another trough possibly impacts the region early next week.
With the upper low and trough, conditions look to be unsettled for much of the week. Thunderstorm chances are highest today through Wednesday, with highest chances today over central Oregon then across the higher elevations of central and eastern Oregon Tuesday and then the chances shift east on Wednesday to mainly eastern Oregon. However, by Wednesday, overall POPS increase as well with some areas seeing likely or higher chances.
QPF values are fairly low today and Tuesday, mainly due to the nature of thunderstorms. However, by Wednesday, rain becomes more widespread and amounts, especially for the higher terrain from central Oregon to eastern Oregon will increase. Some of these areas will see QPF between 0.50 to 1.00 inch.
THE ECMWF EFI does focus in on some anomalous QPF values on Tuesday, in central Oregon, with values in the 0.7 to 0.8 range and on Wednesday the 0.7 to 0.8 range is a bit more widespread.
High temperatures will be around or slightly below normal through the week.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... PDT 57 79 57 74 / 40 40 70 70 ALW 61 81 62 75 / 30 30 60 70 PSC 58 83 59 79 / 20 20 40 50 YKM 57 84 58 83 / 20 30 20 30 HRI 59 82 59 78 / 30 40 50 60 ELN 53 83 56 80 / 30 30 20 30 RDM 48 71 49 72 / 50 60 60 50 LGD 51 78 54 70 / 40 50 80 80 GCD 50 72 53 68 / 40 70 80 70 DLS 60 81 62 78 / 30 40 30 40
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.PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...None. WA...None. &&
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SHORT TERM...77 LONG TERM....77 AVIATION...95
NWS PDT Office Area Forecast Discussion