Newtonia, Missouri Weather Forecast Discussion

669
FXUS63 KSGF 120815
AFDSGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
315 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above normal temperatures and dry conditions into next week.
  Some record highs may be approached. Drought conditions
  worsening.
- Pattern change could be coming by next weekend - more seasonal
  temperatures and potentially precipitation.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 311 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
The Ozarks continue to remain under the influence of deep high
pressure, with an upper-level ridge dominating the majority of the
country. Highs yesterday topped out in the low to mid 90s with calm
and clear conditions. More of this can be expected as the high
pressure continues to build in this weekend. Today, we will see
highs in the mid-90s and light winds out of the southwest. A few
clouds will pass by but remain minimal. Afternoon humidity will be
low due to the drier airmass, so heat index values will more or less
match the true high temperature.
Lows tonight in the upper 60s to around 70. Saturday will be a
repeat of today, with temperatures perhaps a degree or two higher.
Moisture starts to recover a bit as the western periphery of the
ridge draws closer, resulting in increased cloud cover in the
afternoon and evening.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 311 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
The ridge remains firmly in place through the weekend, and we`ll
continue to see highs in the mid-90s well into the middled of next
week. This may put some record highs in jeopardy (see Climate
section below). Global models have the trough out west approaching
the area sometime Sunday, though it loses amplitude over the Plains
as it is drawn up north by another low pressure system over Canada.
Its immediate impact to the area will be slim-to-none; the shortwave
energy that passes by the northwesternmost reaches of the CWA may
help to kick off some thunderstorms, though lack of instability and
moisture will certainly be limiting factors.
In all likelihood, we will continue to experience hot, dry, calm
days through the majority of the week. A messy synoptic pattern
unfolds by the end of the forecast period with many low pressure
systems interacting over the high Plains and Canada. This looks to
kick a shortwave across the area, which may drop temperatures closer
to normal going into next weekend. Precipitation potential still
looks pretty low (

NWS SGF Office Area Forecast Discussion