Norfield, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

786
FXUS64 KJAN 280759
AFDJAN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
259 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
...New DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry weather and warmer than normal temperatures are expected
   through the start of the work week.
- Disturbed weather over the Southeastern US this week could bring
   a chance for cooler weather and possible rain later this week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 257 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Today and Tonight: Warmer than normal and dry through the period.
Ridging surface and aloft will strengthen over the region from the
northwest through tonight. The dry airmass over our CWA with a PWAT
less than one inch today will begin to moisten from the east
tonight but no fog/stratus development is anticipated. /22/
Monday through Saturday: The upper-level weather pattern continues
to look messy across the region heading into the new week.
Initially, we have a closed low over the Baja Peninsula with
approaching deep trough to its west, a trough over the US East
Coast, and a ridge of high pressure over the Great Plains. A
tropical low (now Tropical Depression Nine) is drifting northwest
from Cuba to parallel the US Atlantic Coastline. It`s expected to
interact with Hurricane Humberto to its east over the next few days,
with latest projections from the National Hurricane Center keeping
both systems over open waters east of the mainland.
Remnant energy from the Southeast US trough and the
Southwest US trough look to become entangled in the collapsing ridge
over the central US. Troughing aloft should be influential in the
local weather patterns by midweek, though uncertain in exact
impacts. Latest NBM guidance keeps a "dry" forecast in place for our
forecast area, but the operational global models and components of
their ensembles bring at least some light precip through the region
with moisture and lift pivoting around upper-level troughing in our
region mid to late week. It`s the kind of forecast where a 10%
chance for rain on multiple days could focus into a slight chance
for precip on one particular day as we narrow in on the details of
this complex upper air pattern`s evolution. By late week, anticipate
the evolving weather pattern to also bring us cooler temps to near
or below normal by a few degrees. /NF/
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
VFR conditions wl prevail through the TAF period. /22/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       89  67  90  66 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      90  66  90  65 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     88  65  90  66 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   92  67  93  67 /   0   0   0   0
Natchez       88  65  90  66 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    87  62  89  64 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     89  64  91  65 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
22/NF/22

NWS JAN Office Area Forecast Discussion