Old Mobeetie, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

610
FXUS64 KAMA 270451
AFDAMA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1151 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1132 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
- There is a 10-20% chance for showers or thunderstorms to work
  into the far southwestern Texas Panhandle Saturday and Saturday
  night. Expect light to moderate rain with this activity.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 1132 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
A trough, currently spinning over the Southwestern US, is expected
to stay nearly stationary over the region through Saturday before
beginning to lift on Sunday. Most, if not all, of the convection
associated with this system is expected to stay west of the
Panhandles, but there is around a 10-20% chance for a dissipating
shower or thunderstorm to move into the far southwestern Panhandles
Saturday and Saturday night.
A surface low will develop in the northern High Plains on Sunday
which will result in the surface pressure gradient steepening in the
northwestern Panhandles, resulting in breezy winds. Mid to high-
based clouds will move into the Panhandles throughout the day
causing temperatures to be cooler than Saturday, especially in the
western Panhandles.
Vanden Bosch
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 1132 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
An upper-level trough should be imposing upon the Panhandles by the
beginning of this long-term period with a developing secondary
surface low in southeastern Colorado. Expecting clouds to become
more prevalent across the Panhandles on Monday with temperatures to
be widespread in the 70s to low-80s. Lobes of vorticity associated
with the shortwave are favored to move into the Panhandles
throughout the day which has a very low (5-10%) chance to result in
some showers in what is currently anticipated to be a fairly
stable or very weakly unstable environment.
The area will be on the backside of the trough on Tuesday. With a
sunny sky anticipated, temperatures will warm back into the 80s
across the Panhandles.
An upper-level trough is favored to move into the Pacific Northwest
on Wednesday which results in a ridge building over the Central US
which should persist through the remainder of the long-range period.
Highs in the 80s to low-90s can be expected with less than a 5%
chance for precipitation.
Vanden Bosch
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1149 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
VFR conditions are anticipated through at least the next 24 hours.
A weak boundary will move into KDHT and KGUY later this morning
and change winds to northerly for a brief time, but winds will
remain light.
&&
.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...52
LONG TERM....52
AVIATION...52

NWS AMA Office Area Forecast Discussion