Oneill, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

077
FXUS63 KLBF 021932
AFDLBF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
232 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Temperatures remain well above average in the upper 80s to low
  90s Friday, and 85 to 90 Saturday. A cold front Saturday night
  brings cooler than average temperatures Sunday into the middle
  of next week.
- Gusty southerly winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to around 45
  mph expected on Saturday. The combination of low humidity and
  strong wind gusts will bring elevated to near critical fire
  weather conditions across all of western and north central
  Nebraska.
- A few strong thunderstorms are possible Saturday evening,
  mainly west of Highway 83, with damaging winds the main
  hazard.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 232 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
An upper level ridge will be in place over the region tonight
with a weak surface trough across eastern Wyoming and eastern
Colorado. This will maintain a southerly wind 5 to 15 mph. Lows
will be mild from the mid to upper 50s.
Friday, surface low pressure will deepen along the Front Range
as a deep upper trough moves into western Montana south across
Nevada and southern California. Southerly winds will increase
by afternoon to 15 to 30 mph. With H85 temperatures around 25C
and deep mixing, raised highs a few degrees above the NBM, to
highs from 88 to 92.
Southerly winds remain breezy Friday night at 15 to 25 mph. This
will keep lows very mild from the upper 50s to low 60s west and
mid to upper 60s east.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 232 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
Ahead of the main upper trough, a potent shortwave trough will
move across Wyoming and Colorado on Saturday, with strong
southerly winds across most of the forecast area. South winds
20 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph are expected during the
afternoon. Strong southerly winds with gusts up to 45 mph will
continue Saturday evening ahead of an advancing cold front. As
the shortwave trough lifts quickly northeast across the area
Saturday night, a strong cold front will move through, with
chance to likely POPs for showers and thunderstorms during the
evening. A few strong thunderstorms are possible, mainly west
of Highway 83, with damaging winds the main hazard. Behind the
cold front, much cooler on Sunday, with highs from the upper 50s
to upper 60s and a breezy northwest wind.
Shower chances return Sunday night, as the main upper trough
interacts with a stalled frontal boundary across northern
Kansas. Cooler in the upper 50s Monday. Chances for showers
again Monday night, manly across the south. An upper trough over
Hudson Bay and Great Lakes Tuesday into Wednesday will limit the
warmup, with highs mostly in the low 60s. Upper ridging returns
Thursday, with highs returning to near normal from the upper 60s
to mid 70s.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
VFR conditions will persist the next 24 hours across western
and north central Nebraska. Winds today will remain below 10KT
at the KLBF and KVTN terminals. At KVTN, a southerly wind will
gust to near 20KT at times after 05Z, with prevailing 16015G23KT
after 16Z Friday.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 232 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
Temperatures remain much above average Friday in the upper 80s
to low 90s. Southerly winds 15 to 30 mph during the afternoon
will combine with humidity from 25 to 40 percent, bringing
elevated fire concerns mainly near and west of Highway 83.
On Saturday, temperatures to reach 85 to 90, with humidity
around 25 to 35 percent. However, strong southerly winds 25 to
35 mph with gusts to 45 mph are expected. With grassland fuels
partial cured, large fire growth is possible. Elevated to near
critical fire weather conditions are likely across western and
north central Nebraska. A Fire Weather Watch is possible
Saturday afternoon and evening a ahead of a cold front.
Saturday night, a cold front tracks across the region, bringing
chances for wetting rains, mainly west of Highway 83. Cooler
than seasonal temperatures Sunday through Wednesday will limit
fire weather concerns.
&&
.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Roberg
FIRE WEATHER...Roberg

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion