Ozone, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

954
FXUS64 KOHX 061125
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
625 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 608 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
- Rain and thunderstorms will come to an end by Saturday afternoon,
  giving way to cooler temperatures this weekend.
- Next week will be dry and sunny with temperatures heating back
  into the upper 80s to low 90s.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday Night)
Issued at 1119 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
A strong upper level low is set up over southern Ontario dropping
a cold front south into Middle TN. As the trough digs early
Saturday morning we will see the front stall out over the region
with periods of showers and thunderstorms ahead of it. The
thunderstorm activity will be elevated keeping the severe risk
very low. The front will start to drop south just before daybreak
and we will see a round of widespread rain with some embedded
thunderstorms. The front along with the widespread activity will
continue to move through the area during the morning hours.
Instability will remain elevated keeping the severe risk near
zero.
A few showers may linger over the Plateau into the afternoon,
otherwise dry and quiet weather will start to settle in. Highs on
Saturday will be much cooler only making it into the low to mid
70s. Quiet and pleasant weather can be expected for the second
half of the weekend as high pressure builds in from the Plains.
Sunday temperatures will warm some pushing back into the mid 70s
to lower 80s for highs.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1119 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Quiet weather is going to continue into the week as high pressure
slowly slides east and upper level ridging amplifies to our west.
With the ridge building to our west we will see warming
temperatures with highs starting in the mid 70s to lower 80s and
warming into the mid 80s to lower 90s by Thursday. Towards the end
of the week the upper level ridge will push east over us keeping
the hot weather in place. No rain is expected throughout the
week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 608 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
The 12Z TAFs are a mess. We still have a broad area of showers
with embedded storms moving across Middle Tennessee during the
next few hours with variable ceilings and vsbys bouncing around as
showers move into and out of terminal spaces. Things will even out
as we progress through the morning and showers finally exit the
mid state and ceilings improve to VFR and then scatter out.
Overnight, look for some radiation fog and low stratus at a few of
our terminals.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      74  54  81  52 /  60   0   0   0
Clarksville    75  51  81  47 /  60   0   0   0
Crossville     70  50  73  47 /  60  10   0   0
Columbia       72  51  80  49 /  60   0   0   0
Cookeville     70  51  74  48 /  60   0   0   0
Jamestown      69  49  73  47 /  60  10   0   0
Lawrenceburg   72  51  78  48 /  70   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   72  52  80  49 /  60   0   0   0
Waverly        72  51  80  48 /  60   0   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Mueller
LONG TERM....Mueller
AVIATION.....Rose

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion