068 FXUS63 KPAH 281121 AFDPAHArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 621 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry conditions expected through next week.
- Temps will remain a few degrees above normal through early week then come down to around normal mid to late week.
- Mid to late week forecast is becoming clearer, with little to no impacts expected from a tropical disturbance off the Carolina coast.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 217 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
High pressure at the sfc and aloft rules over the region through at least early week. Highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 80s till mid week, lows in the 50s to near 60. Expect mostly clear skies and light winds out of the north and northeast. Some patchy fog is possible again this morning, mainly along the Mississippi river and up to Mt. Vernon, IL.
Mid week onward is still somewhat uncertain but is becoming clearer with time. Focus is on the tropical disturbances off the Carolina coast. TD 9 which may become TS Imelda looks to skirt up the East Coast to the Carolinas and then gets pulled out to sea slightly by a passing hurricane Humberto to the east and high pressure to the north over New England. With this outcome, ensembles increasingly favor dry conditions for our region mid week onward with continued high pressure dominance. Temperatures are expected to be in the lower 80s Thursday onward (closer to normal).
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.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/... Issued at 617 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Some patchy fog has formed again this morning mainly along the Mississippi river at CGI. Expect vsbys to bounce around a bit this morning at CGI before clearing up by around 1330Z-1400Z. Otherwise expect VFR conditions with clear skies today and light winds out of the northeast. Winds will go calm again overnight.
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.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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DISCUSSION...HICKFORD AVIATION...HICKFORD
NWS PAH Office Area Forecast Discussion