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Pigeon Forge, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

754
FXUS64 KMRX 071057
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 657 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 132 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

Key Messages:

1. After morning showers and fog, drier and cooler temperatures are expected with tonight`s lows dropping well into the 40s and 50s.

2. A gradual warming trend is expected through the week and into the weekend with no rain expected anywhere.

Discussion:

Currently, broad troughing is expanding across the eastern U.S. with a frontal boundary having pushed off well to our south and east. High pressure is gradually approaching from the northwest. Recent rainfall and gradual clearing will continue to allow for fog development through the early morning hours with rainfall exiting to the east. Ultimately, this will bring drier and milder conditions to the region on Sunday with CAA and radiational cooling allowing for temperatures to drop into the 50s and mid to upper 40s in many places. Though not quite record values, this will be cooler than what was seen in late August. Early in the week, high pressure will remain in control with off and on shortwaves after deeper troughing shifts eastward. With continued subsidence and dry air, rain is not expected in the area. Late in the week and into the weekend, broad ridging will expand from the west, leading to height rises and a return of warmer temperatures back well into the 80s. However, continued high pressure and limited moisture return will keep rain chances out of the area.

&&

.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 647 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

Nighttime satellite imagery and observations show only a few patchy fog and low cloud spots across the region and terminals. Conditions area wide will continue to improve this morning, before winds increase slightly this afternoon. Tonight: winds calm, with no significant weather expected to form tonight beyond some patchy fod.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Chattanooga Airport, TN 79 59 81 57 / 0 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 76 54 79 55 / 0 0 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 75 53 78 54 / 0 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 72 48 76 49 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. &&

$$

DISCUSSION...BW AVIATION...Wellington

NWS MRX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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