Rowayton, Connecticut Weather Forecast Discussion

760
FXUS61 KOKX 270633
AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
233 AM EDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds into the region today. A disturbance
brings a chance for rain tonight before a weak front pushes
through on Sunday. High pressure builds in next week while low
pressure remains well south and southeast of the region.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Weak high pres across the region today. Some patchy fog with
calm winds early this mrng, then a canopy of mid and high clouds
overspreads the area from the SW today. Stlt showed these
clouds from near PHI to VA. Arny rain is expected to hold off
attm with the mid lvls dry along with subsidence. Winds lgt
today becoming sely this aftn. The NBM was followed.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
An upr trof lifting into the area is still modeled to produce
some lgt rain tngt across the cwa, especially the srn/ern
portions. Convection with this trof is progged to remain over
the Atlc. The llvls will still take some time to saturate, with
the sys then exiting by 12Z per the model consensus.
Becoming mostly sunny for Sun, with temps abv normal.
Some patchy radiation fog possible Sun ngt with lgt and vrb
flow.
The NBM was followed.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A 1030s Canadian high will build into the region next week. At
first, there will be solid nely flow locked in with the center
of the high still to the NW and tropical low pres over the
Atlc. As the high reaches the area by the end of the week, winds
will go lgt.
No pcpn is expected thru the period.
The NBM was followed.
Please note, for specific track and strength observational and
forecast information regarding tropical waves and tropical
cyclones, see the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane
Center.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Weak high pressure builds in tonight and remains in control through
Saturday. Weak low pressure approaches from the south Saturday night.
VFR through the TAF period. Light and variable winds overnight.
Light NE flow Saturday morning 5 to 10 kt. S-SE sea breezes at
5 to 10 kt for coastal terminals Saturday afternoon, otherwise
light winds for inland terminals at around 5 kt. Chance for
showers after 00Z Sunday, with better chances after 04Z.
Although VFR conditions still expected, brief MVFR are possible
at times.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
No unscheduled amendments expected.
.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
Saturday night: VFR, low chance/brief MVFR in showers.
Sunday: Low chance/brief MVFR conditions early, otherwise VFR.
Tuesday: VFR.
Wednesday: VFR. NE gusts around 20 kt possible.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
&&
.MARINE...
Winds and seas remain blw sca lvls thru the day on Mon.
Increasing swell will likely produce sca seas on the ocean Mon
ngt and Tue. Strengthening NE winds will keep sca cond in place
on the ocean thru Wed, with the winds possibly meeting criteria
on the non-ocean waters as well.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
No hydrologic issues expected through next week.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
There is a low rip current risk this weekend with waves around 2
ft and lgt winds.
With a continuous easterly flow and fetch next week, minor
coastal flooding may be possible around midweek along with the
possibility of high surf.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BC/JM/JMC
NEAR TERM...JMC
SHORT TERM...JMC
LONG TERM...JMC
AVIATION...JP
MARINE...JMC
HYDROLOGY...JMC
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...JMC

NWS OKX Office Area Forecast Discussion