Satsuma, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

139
FXUS64 KHGX 141111
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
611 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025
- Generally dry and hot conditions expected through the forecast
  period.
- Isolated shower and thunderstorm activity possible each
  afternoon in our coastal counties beginning today and for much
  of this week. Couldn`t rule out some of this activity pushing
  north of I-10 today.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025
Despite high pressure over the region, the atmosphere was able to
squeak out a couple of isolated showers near the coast on
Saturday. If we were able to produce a couple of brief showers
yesterday, then I would expect we will see at least isolated to
possibly scattered afternoon showers today as the upper level
ridge begins to break down. Coverage will be greatest along the
coast along the afternoon sea breeze, but some isolated activity
could pop up as far north as the Piney Woods. The remainder of the
week will be dry for most of the region, but there will be a
daily chance of isolated afternoon showers or storms along the
coast. A weakness in the northwesterly flow aloft may bring better
chances of showers/storms further inland Thursday night into
Friday, but coverage is still looking fairly limited at this time.
A fairly consistent temperature forecast is expected this week with
highs generally expected in the low to mid 90s (cooler at the coast)
and lows generally in the low to mid 70s (warmer at the coast).
Fowler
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 549 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025
Isolated patchy fog should clear after sunrise. VFR conditions
prevailing during the daytime, with light SE/E winds. A few
isolated showers will be possible in the afternoon. Chances are
too low to warrant inclusion into the current TAF, though time
wise it`s most likely to occur around 18-00z. Variable winds
overnight with isolated patchy fog possible again Monday morning.
03
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025
Light to occasionally moderate east to southeasterly flow (sustained
10-15kt, occasional gusts to 20kt) will persist through at least mid
week with seas generally between 2-4ft. Isolated showers and storms
over the coastal waters will be possible each day this week.
The persistent onshore flow will lead to higher than normal high
tides through at least the start of next week, peaking at around 3.0-
3.5ft above MLLW at times of high tide.
Fowler
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  93  71  92  69 /  10   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  93  75  93  73 /  20   0  10   0
Galveston (GLS)  88  81  88  80 /  30   0   0   0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Fowler
AVIATION...03
MARINE...Fowler

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion