Shakespeare, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

308
FXUS64 KBMX 162326
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
626 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1034 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
- Dry and hot conditions will persist with only very isolated
   showers and thunderstorms possible today and tomorrow
   afternoon. Otherwise, a pattern shift is possible next week
   that could give some relief.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday)
Issued at 1229 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
Hot temperatures and dry conditions will persist as the upper low
over the coastal Carolinas brings northerly flow to much of the
southeast. A slight wrinkle to that is the southernly surface flow
that may begin to re-establish itself by tomorrow afternoon. If
so, that will help with some limited convergence and a few more
isolated showers and thunderstorms. Will likely not amount to
much, however, as the overall moisture levels will remain low.
This pattern will continue through the weekend.
17/KLaws
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 1229 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
Next week is starting to look better in terms of rainfall as a
wholesale pattern change is still being featured by early next
week. We will provide some more updates and details as time
approaches, but the outlooks are showing a 40% chance of above
normal rainfall for much of next week.
17/KLaws
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 626 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours with light
and variable winds. Very widely-spaced isolated showers and
thunderstorms appear possible after 18z Wednesday, but
predictability is too low to include a mention in the TAFs.
87/Grantham
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Not a lot of change to the current forecast. Generally speaking,
the afternoon RH values will reside in the 30s with light winds.
There has been a slight increase in the potential for isolated
showers tomorrow afternoon as southerly return flow starts to get
re-established. However, any chances for widespread meaningful
rainfall will not be likely until a pattern shift next week.
17/klaws
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     64  89  64  91 /  20  20   0   0
Anniston    65  88  65  90 /  20  20   0   0
Birmingham  69  91  68  92 /  10  20   0   0
Tuscaloosa  67  93  66  93 /   0  20   0   0
Calera      67  92  67  93 /   0  20   0   0
Auburn      66  89  67  90 /  10  20   0   0
Montgomery  64  91  66  92 /  10  20   0   0
Troy        63  90  65  91 /   0  20   0   0
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...17/KLaws
LONG TERM....17/KLaws
AVIATION...87/Grantham

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion