Shields, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

279
FXUS63 KDDC 211725
AFDDDC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1225 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Accumulating rainfall possible from Monday night through
  Wednesday as an upper level trough/low crosses the Central
  Plains. Moderate confidence exists that a few of these storms
  may also be severe but at this time exact location of where
  these stronger storms will occur is low.
- A warm start (highs in the 80s) to the work week will give way
  to cooler temperatures (highs in the 70s) Tuesday and beyond.
- A dry and quiet weather stretch is forecast the latter half of
  this week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 414 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
Currently a cluster of thundershowers is slowly tracking eastward
across SW Kansas. This comes off of a low-level small shortwave
trough helping to provide some lift to the area that has received
ample WAA and moisture advection for weak convection. A lack of
shear and deep CAPE (

NWS DDC Office Area Forecast Discussion