913 FXUS64 KMOB 100531 AFDMOBArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1231 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1142 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
An upper trof over the eastern states slowly moves off to along the East Coast by Friday night and potentially drifts into the far western Atlantic on Saturday. Past this point, an upper low develops near the Mid Atlantic coast Sunday into Monday and persists into Tuesday. A large upper ridge over the central CONUS meanwhile slowly builds into a portion of the eastern states through this weekend, then is held in position by the developing upper low and slowly weakens. A surface ridge over the eastern states weakens through early next week and promotes a mostly northeasterly surface flow over the forecast area, except for a progressively better defined sea breeze circulation developing each afternoon from Saturday through Tuesday. Deep layer moisture remains too limited through the period to consider pops and have continued with a dry forecast through Tuesday.
Highs on Wednesday will be 85 to 90 then Thursday through Sunday will see highs around 90 into the lower 90s. Highs on Monday into Tuesday trend a bit warmer with highs on Tuesday mostly ranging from 90 to 95. Lows Wednesday night typically range from the lower 60s inland to the mid/upper 60s near the coast then slowly trend just a bit warmer by Monday night to range from the mid 60s inland to around 70 at the coast. A high risk of rip currents remains in effect through Wednesday afternoon, then a moderate risk is expected Wednesday night. A low risk of rip currents follows for Thursday through Sunday. /29
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.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1228 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
VFR conditions expected through the forecast. North to northeasterly winds of 5 to 10 knots expected over most of the area through the rest of the night into Wednesday evening, before becoming light. /16
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.MARINE... Issued at 1142 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
Moderate to strong northeasterly to easterly winds diminish Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. A light to moderate diurnal flow pattern follows for Friday into the weekend with an offshore flow developing each night then becoming mostly onshore in the afternoon. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the near shore waters until 10 am Wednesday, and for the 20-60 nm portion until 1 pm Wednesday. /29
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 65 91 65 93 66 92 67 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 68 90 70 91 69 90 70 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 70 89 71 89 71 89 71 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 60 92 61 94 63 93 62 92 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 62 91 63 92 63 93 63 92 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Camden 61 91 65 91 64 92 63 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Crestview 61 90 62 91 65 91 64 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for GMZ650-655.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ670- 675.
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NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion