578 FXUS66 KPDT 210546 AFDPDTArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 1046 PM PDT Sat Sep 20 2025
Updated Aviation Discussion
.AVIATION...06Z TAFs...VFR conditions forecasted to prevail through the period. A cold front passage tonight through tomorrow will bring rain impacts to sites DLS/YKM/PSC/PDT/ALW. Showers with the cold front will be capable of producing MVFR or lower CIGS/vsby, however confidence was too low (15-30%) to include in the forecast. CIGs will increase ahead of the cold front tonight, but are expected to become clear or few decks behind the frontal passage. Winds will increase to 12-20kts with gusts 20-30kts at all sites with the initial approach and passage of the cold front boundary. Otherwise, winds will be mostly 12kts or less, except at site DLS where 12-15kt sustained winds and gusts to around 21kts will continue through 10Z. Lawhorn/82
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 156 PM PDT Sat Sep 20 2025/
.DISCUSSION...Satellite imagery reveals multiple features of interest in the Pacific. A closed low centered off the coast of central California is advecting remnants of tropical moisture northward into the Blue Mountains region, leading to PWATs of 150-200% of normal. To the northwest, a closed low is churning in the Gulf of Alaska, and water vapor imagery shows a shortwave diving southeast towards the Pacific Northwest. Ahead of the shortwave, a frontal boundary is draped from Vancouver Island southwest into the Pacific.
Today, there is a slight chance (10-15%) of isolated showers and thunderstorms across the Blue Mountains, roughly from the Bend metro area eastward. Cross-Cascade pressure gradients will drive breezy winds through the Cascade gaps into wind-prone areas of the Columbia Basin today. While some areas will approach Red Flag thresholds for wind and low relative humidity, confidence was too low (
NWS PDT Office Area Forecast Discussion