Taft, Oklahoma Weather Forecast Discussion

864
FXUS64 KTSA 251038
AFDTSA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
538 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
- Areas of fog tonight and early Thursday morning. Locally dense fog
possible in northwest AR and far northeast OK.
- Dry weather and slightly cooler temperatures Thursday before
warming back to near or slightly above average by this weekend and
into next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Through Thursday)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A few lingering showers possible across northwest AR, generally east
of I-49 for another hour or two, otherwise a dry forecast overnight
with cooler temperatures. Some combination of low clouds and fog can
be expected tonight through a portion of far eastern OK and
northwest AR with current temp/dew point spreads within a few
degrees or less. While at least a low (20-40%) probability of
reduction to 1/4 mile vis does exist across mainly northwest AR, the
current extent of low stratus lends enough uncertainty to preclude
an advisory at this time. Expect patchy fog to eventually develop
over much of eastern OK later tonight as well with much lower
potential for significant reductions.
Aside from morning fog, expect a dry day with temperatures a few
degrees warmer, owing to increase in sun. Dew points in the upper
50s and lower 60s will make for a comfortable afternoon.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Prolonged stretch of quiet weather is expected through the weekend
and continuing to at least the middle of next week as we remain
under the ridge withing a blocking pattern for several days.
Temperatures will gradually warm into the weekend, with daytime
highs at least returning to above normal. At this time Saturday and
Sunday appear to be the warmest afternoons, with some spots along and
west of Highway 75 in eastern OK reaching upper 80s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 535 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Swath of low ceilings will impact the western AR terminals through
mid morning. Periodic patchy dense fog is also ongoing with the
lower visibilities more likely across the E OK terminals through
mid morning. Improving conditions with VFR area wide by late
morning to early afternoon. Light winds and clear skies likely
leads to patch fog again tonight with highest confidence across
far NW AR terminals.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   80  60  83  60 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   80  61  83  60 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   81  58  83  57 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   80  55  82  55 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   78  54  79  53 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   76  54  78  53 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   79  57  81  57 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   78  56  81  54 /   0   0   0   0
F10   80  56  82  55 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   80  59  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for OKZ056>058-
     061>063-067.
AR...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...07

NWS TSA Office Area Forecast Discussion