Thicket, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

326
FXUS64 KLCH 111748
AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1248 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Temperatures will warm into the mid 90s this afternoon and
  through the early part of next week as oppressive upper level
  ridge develops over the region.
- High pressure remains in control of the forecast from today
  through the middle part of next week. Expect daily hot and dry
  conditions with less than 5 percent chances of rain each day.
- Lower than normal daytime humidity will keep heat indices capped
  in the upper 90s each day. Continue practicing heat safety for
  those outdoors working, at sporting practices, or otherwise
  being active outdoors.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
A large dome of high pressure rests over the Southern Plains today
while gentle upper level flow ushers dry continental air from the
north. Winds in this regime are expected to be light with variable
shifts during mornings and evenings during land / sea breezes. This
will be to a lesser effect further inland over CenLA. Given local
high pressure environment, conditions will trend dry with no
organized precipitation expected into the weekend. Highs forecast to
range in the low to mid 90`s and lows toward 70F give or take a few
degrees.
Kowalski / 30
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
Sunday, the high pressure pattern builds and expands along the
Mississippi Valley keeping conditions dry again into the new week.
With the surface ridging adjusted further to our north and east,
some onshore flow may perturb the marine boundary layer further
inland potentially leading to some weak coastal showers. Blended
guidance, while recognizing the coast to be susceptible to seabreeze
activity, highly limits even isolated chances. That being said, this
is the only confidence caveat to the forecast, as more significant
weather will be steered away from local area into the middle of next
week. Highs will meander between the low to mid 90`s while evening
lows trend into the mid 60`s for interior locations compared to the
coast where low 70`s are most likely to maintain through the
remainder of the forecast period.
Kowalski / 30
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
Conditions will prevail VFR through the TAF period. Light east winds
with variable southerly components likely through evening hours.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
Winds will generally range from the NE-SE throughout the forecast
period. However, surface high pressure ridging into the northwest
Gulf will allow land / seabreezes to occur as well. Higher winds
and seas in the 20 to 60 nm waters will ease and abate through
this evening. From tomorrow morning to at least early Sunday,
this boundary washes out creating hot afternoons with low seas
under Light to Gentle winds.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
Hot and dry conditions with breezy, variable winds to be expected
this evening thru the start of next work week. High pressure over
the region strengthens from Friday through Sunday allowing high
temps to drive into the mid to upper 90s each day. Surface mixing is
expected each afternoon with daytime RH minimums in the 30 to 45
percent range.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  70  95  70  94 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  73  93  73  93 /   0  10   0   0
LFT  71  94  71  93 /   0   0   0   0
BPT  72  93  72  93 /   0  10   0  10
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...30

NWS LCH Office Area Forecast Discussion