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Veribest, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

866
FXUS64 KSJT 161054
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 554 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm, but near-normal temperatures continue today

- Low chance (20-30%) of thunderstorms each day starting Wednesday night and continuing into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 121 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

Early this morning, skies were mostly clear as broad high pressure was in place at the surface. Temperatures were in the upper 60s to mid 70s with light winds. Upper-level ridging has built in across the majority of Texas as the region lies between two upper lows, over the Rockies and over the southeast US. This pattern should remain in place through at least tonight. Fair weather is therefore expected today with light southeasterly flow at the surface. The airmass is about the same as it has been the past few days so high temperatures are expected to be in the low 90s once again. Aside from some scattered mid-level clouds overnight, skies should be mostly clear with light winds, allowing temperatures to fall to the mid to upper 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 121 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

The combination of weak instability, tropical moisture(PW values 1.25 to 1.5 inches) and weak upper level disturbances will bring low chances(20-30%) of showers and thunderstorms through much of the long term. Most areas will not see any rainfall. The best potential for greater than 1/2 of an inch will be across the Heartland. Otherwise, expect slightly above normal temperatures with highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s. No significant cold fronts are expected during the next 7 days.

&&

.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 554 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hours with light and variable winds. Winds will increase to around 10KT at most locations by late morning from the south to southeast, before weakening this evening. Occasional gusts over 15KT are possible this afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 92 68 93 70 / 10 0 0 0 San Angelo 90 66 90 66 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 91 63 90 65 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 91 66 92 67 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 91 68 91 69 / 10 0 0 0 Ozona 88 64 88 66 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 88 66 88 66 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK LONG TERM....21 AVIATION...SK

NWS SJT Office Area Forecast Discussion

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