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Whitewater, Wisconsin Weather Forecast Discussion

856
FXUS63 KMKX 080839
AFDMKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 339 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A warming trend is expected this week, with high temperatures warming to above normal values later this week.

- Gusty south to southwest winds will bring rising waves to Lake Michigan beaches, with a Beach Hazards Statement in effect for high swim risk conditions in Sheboygan County this evening through early Tuesday evening. Moderate swim risk conditions are expected at Ozaukee County beaches during this time.

- There are 20 to 30 percent chances for showers and a few storms Tuesday night across south central and portions of southeast Wisconsin. There is a drier trend in the forecast for this period.

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.SHORT TERM... Issued 339 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

Today through Tuesday:

Some dense fog will linger into early this morning in the Wisconsin River Valley, and possibly across other low lying areas of south central Wisconsin. There may be some ground fog elsewhere in low lying areas into early this morning. May see more fog in the Wisconsin River Valley later tonight as well, though winds may be too strong.

High pressure will continue to move further east of the region today into Tuesday. This will bring dry conditions today, with increasing south winds. Winds should shift southeast by later this afternoon near Lake Michigan. Scattered diurnal stratocumulus clouds should develop as well.

Warm air advection developing should help highs rise to around 70 or in the lower 70s this afternoon. Warm air advection continuing into Tuesday should bring lows into the lower 50s tonight, with highs into the middle 70s Tuesday. South winds tonight should become south to southwest on Tuesday, with some gustiness at times.

Wood

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.LONG TERM... Issued 339 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

Tuesday night through Sunday:

Weak 500 mb shortwave rotates through Wisconsin Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, bringing chances for rainfall (about 15 to 30 percent) mainly Tuesday night. However, trends continue towards a drier solution, with only a few showers expected in southern Wisconsin and the majority of rainfall potential in central to northern Wisconsin.

After this shortwave exits Wednesday, expecting high amplitude but narrow upper level ridging to build into the Mississippi Valley, keeping southern Wisconsin within a warm pattern through the end of the week. Expect highs in the upper 70s, reaching the lower 80s through the weekend. Additional ridge-riding shortwaves may bring additional showers and perhaps a thunderstorm or two during the later parts of the week into the weekend.

MH

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.AVIATION... Issued 339 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

Some dense fog will linger into early this morning in the Wisconsin River Valley, and possibly across other low lying areas of south central Wisconsin. There may be some ground fog elsewhere in low lying areas into early this morning. May see more fog in the Wisconsin River Valley later tonight as well, though winds may be too strong.

High pressure will continue to move further east of the region today into Tuesday. This will bring dry conditions today, with increasing south winds. Winds should shift southeast by later this afternoon for terminals near Lake Michigan. Scattered diurnal stratocumulus clouds around 3500 to 5000 feet AGL should develop as well by this afternoon.

South winds tonight should become south to southwest on Tuesday, with gusts of 14 to 18 knots at times. Scattered to broken clouds around 3500 feet AGL are anticipated Tuesday.

Wood

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.MARINE... Issued 339 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

High pressure around 30.3 inches will continue to move east of the region today into Tuesday. Increasing south to southwest winds during this period are expected, with the highest wind gusts to 30 knots across the northern half of the lake. Waves will build in this area during this time.

For the nearshore waters, a Small Craft Advisory is in effect north of Port Washington from early this evening into early Tuesday evening, for gusty south to southwest winds of 15 to 25 knots and building waves of 3 to 5 feet.

Much lighter winds are then expected Tuesday night and Wednesday, followed by a weak cold frontal passage from the north Wednesday night. Light northeast winds will prevail on Thursday after the frontal passage, becoming east to southeast for Friday.

Wood

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.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...Beach Hazards Statement...WIZ052...7 PM Monday to 7 PM Tuesday.

LM...Small Craft Advisory...LMZ643...7 PM Monday to 7 PM Tuesday.

&&

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NWS MKX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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