Wickes, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

495
FXUS64 KLZK 220552
AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1252 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1229 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
-Strong to severe storms will be possible across northern Arkansas
 overnight through Sunday morning.
-Additional rounds of widespread rain are likely late Sunday
 evening through Wednesday across much of the state.
-Hot and humid conditions will continue today, lasting through
 early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1229 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
To begin the period, a somewhat active weather pattern is expected
over the next several days as multiple shortwaves move across the
state. With it comes the chance for showers, thunderstorms, and
cooler temperatures (later in the week). The best chance for rain
through the period will be Monday through Wednesday morning. While
widespread severe is not expected, some isolated storms could
produce severe hail and/or wind gusts.
As of this forecast package, showers and thunderstorms continue to
move across northern locations bringing the chance for small hail
and gusty winds. With that said, the bigger threat could be flash
flooding due to heavy rainfall and training thunderstorms.
As with any scattered convection, exact totals depend where storms
set up. Northern Arkansas will likely see the most in the way of
rain accumulations with two to four inches possible through
Wednesday. Lesser amounts are expected the further south you go
across the state with one to three inches possible across central
locations and up to an inch for southern locations. Higher
accumulations will be possible for areas with consistent storms or
training.
Temperatures are expected to be average to above average through
much of the period with high temperatures in the lower 80s (mainly
northern locations) to lower 90s and overnight low temperatures
dropping into the lower 60s to lower 70s across the state.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
Periods of shower and storm activity throughout the forecast
period will be the main aviation challenge. Depending on
organization and intensity of storms, gusty and erratic winds
along with visibility restrictions from RA/TSRA conditions will
be the main impacts. Current activity is favoring western to
northwestern Arkansas, thus higher chances over the next several
hours will favor the northern terminals should activity increase
across the forecast area. Otherwise, heading into tomorrow
morning, uncertainty still exists on storm evolution for central
to southern Arkansas, so kept TEMPO groups in for the time being
for any mention of RA/TSRA conditions. Should that scenario come
to frution, shower and storm activity is anticipated to be on the
downtrend going into the evening hours.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     84  66  82  67 /  80  60  80  90
Camden AR         88  69  91  70 /  40  20  40  60
Harrison AR       82  65  76  65 /  70  60  90  90
Hot Springs AR    85  68  88  68 /  70  30  60  80
Little Rock   AR  85  71  87  71 /  70  40  60  80
Monticello AR     91  71  93  72 /  30  20  30  50
Mount Ida AR      83  68  87  68 /  70  30  60  80
Mountain Home AR  83  66  78  65 /  70  50  90  90
Newport AR        84  69  83  69 /  80  60  80  90
Pine Bluff AR     88  70  91  70 /  50  30  40  60
Russellville AR   84  69  84  69 /  80  40  80  90
Searcy AR         85  68  86  69 /  80  50  80  80
Stuttgart AR      85  70  87  70 /  60  40  50  70
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...77

NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion